Recessions

The Purpose of Monetary Policy

The Federal Open Market Committee is scheduled to have one of its regularly-scheduled meetings with Fed Chair Janet Yellen making an announcement on interest rate policy.  Most observers expect the Fed to leave short-term interest rates unchanged for now, but the FOMC’s likely actions in the near future could be to raise rates.  Dr. Tiemann reviews the […]

Why the Debt Ceiling Debate Matters

US Congressional hardliners have been threatening not to raise the debt limit again.  They may not understand how central US Treasury securities are to the US and global monetary and banking system.  Dr. Tiemann explains the importance of raising the debt ceiling and the catastrophic consequences that could result from a failure by Congress to act in […]

Head Over Heels for the Yield Curve

Examines the perils of prediction and the relationship between an inverted yield curve and recession, the stock market and the economy as a whole. Explains why the disciplined investor would not make sudden, sharp changes in portfolio strategies to "beat the gun" based on an inverted yield curve.